AA vs AKs Odds
A♣A♦
AA
A♥K♥
AKs
87.4%
AA wins
1.3%
Tie
11.3%
AKs wins
50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation, preflop all-in equity
Why this matchup plays the way it does
AKs blocks one of hero's outs to trips (only two aces left instead of three combos worth) but gains a real backdoor flush and a much wider set of connecting boards than a pocket pair villain — this is a bigger favorite for AA than AA vs KK/QQ, but not as dominant as raw 'two overcards' math would suggest.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of AA vs AKs?
- AA wins 87.4% of the time, ties 1.3%, and loses 11.3% against AKs, based on a 50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation dealt out to the river.
- Is this preflop or postflop equity?
- This is preflop all-in equity — both hands are dealt out to a random river with no further betting decisions. It's the standard number quoted for 'X vs Y odds' searches.
- Why might my actual result differ?
- This number assumes both hands go to showdown with no more folding. In a real hand with betting on each street, the player with worse preflop equity can still win more often than this number suggests by folding when behind, or less often by continuing when they shouldn't.