AA vs 22 Odds
A♥A♠
AA
2♣2♦
22
81.2%
AA wins
0.5%
Tie
18.3%
22 wins
50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation, preflop all-in equity
Why this matchup plays the way it does
A dominant preflop favorite for AA — 22 has no overcard equity at all and needs to flop a set (about 1 in 8) or better to have any real chance. Counterintuitively, AA actually runs slightly better against bigger pocket pairs like KK or QQ than against 22: with no overcards live at all, 22's remaining outs come entirely from connecting boards, which keeps its equity a bit higher than 'zero live cards' alone would suggest.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of AA vs 22?
- AA wins 81.2% of the time, ties 0.5%, and loses 18.3% against 22, based on a 50,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation dealt out to the river.
- Is this preflop or postflop equity?
- This is preflop all-in equity — both hands are dealt out to a random river with no further betting decisions. It's the standard number quoted for 'X vs Y odds' searches.
- Why might my actual result differ?
- This number assumes both hands go to showdown with no more folding. In a real hand with betting on each street, the player with worse preflop equity can still win more often than this number suggests by folding when behind, or less often by continuing when they shouldn't.